Where automation will wipe out the most jobs in the U.S.?

The states in the Midwest hit hardest by past waves of job-market commotion will again deal with the brunt of the next round of automation-fueled disruptions.

Why it should matter

As middle- and low-wages jobs in the American heartland deteriorate further, the national frustration and polarization motivated by an urban-rural divide will only deepen.

The History 

The last big wave of technological and scientific disruption, the Information Technology revolution of the 1980s, generated new jobs, but the majority of the job and wage gains were on the high and low ends of the workforce. Scores of middle-wage, middle-skill jobs in manufacturing, mostly in the middle of the country, were automated away or sent overseas.

  • Now, the new wave of industrialization and Artificial Intelligence is predicted to hit high- and low-paying jobs in addition to middle-income jobs.
  • The next crop of susceptible, which involves middle-wage professions like trucking and administrative office work as well as lower-wage jobs like farming and waiting for tables, are spread all over the country.
Where automation will wipe out the most jobs in the U.S.?

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Automation could eliminate more than 73 million jobs in the United States in the next 10 years, but economic progress, rising productivity, and other forces could more than compensate for the losses, according to a new report released by McKinsey Global Institute.

But sustaining employment will need an important change of the economy and labor market that rivals or surpasses the nation’s massive shifts from agriculture- and manufacturing-dominated societies over the past 165 years, the report says.

Robots and AI are already spreading rapidly with the arrival of self-driving cars, software that can react to customer service inquiries and robots that can man assembly lines, flip burgers and check store inventory.

About half of all work activities all over the world have the technological possibility to be automated, but the new report presents a more realistic estimation based on economic, social and technical factors.

In the United States, 39 million to 73 million jobs could be eliminated, but about 20 million of those displaced workers can be moved fairly easily into similar jobs, even though they may take on slightly different responsibilities and duties, the report says. That means 16 million to 54 million workers — or as much as a third of the American job market — will have to be retrained for totally new professions.

Internationally, as much as 800 million workers could be displaced and approximately 375 million may need to learn new skills for new work-related categories. Developed economies like the U.S. that have higher wages are more susceptible to the adoption of labor-saving technology.

Jobs safest from the results of automation are the ones that consist of managing people, high-level expertise and unpredictable conditions. They include IT professionals, engineers, educators, scientists, health care providers, and as well as gardeners, plumbers, and elder care providers.

Jobs that are at big risk of being replaced by automation are physical ones in predictable conditions. Those involve individuals who control machinery, prepare fast food, collect and process data.

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Jessica Cardona
www.readytogocables.com